Screening and prevention of stillbirth




Stillbirth is delivery of a baby at or after 24 weeks of gestational age (UK definition) not showing any signs of life. It affects almost one in 200 pregnancies and is the single major cause of perinatal death. Stillbirth is associated with a wide range of maternal demographic characteristics, but most of the variations in stillbirth risk are independent of these characteristics. Stillbirth is the end point of multiple processes, but the single most common cause is probably placental dysfunction. Stillbirth is associated with a wide range of biochemical and ultrasonic predictors, but there is limited evidence to support population-based screening. However, the evidence based is weak due to the use of poorly characterised screening tests, the failure to couple risk assessment with a clearly effective intervention for those who screen positive and inadequate study sample sizes. Basic research needs to identify better predictors, and clinical trials need to adopt more rigorous methodologies.


Highlights





  • Stillbirth is the single major determinant of perinatal death.



  • Screening for stillbirth currently targets investigations of women with risk factors, which are poorly discriminative.



  • There is scope for screening using ultrasound and biomarkers.



  • The primary disease-modifying intervention is delivery.



  • Induction at term prevents perinatal death without increasing caesarean risk.



Introduction


The 2016 Lancet Ending Preventable Stillbirth Series indicated that the UK was in about the middle of the range of 49 high-income countries in relation to stillbirth rates, and had one of the slowest rates of decline in stillbirth . The absolute risk of stillbirth from 24 weeks onwards is 3–5 per 1000, i.e. about the same as the total risk of death in the first year of life. Moreover, a significant proportion of stillbirths potentially could have been prevented if the babies had been identified as high risk, i.e. cases where the cause of death was not a major congenital anomaly and where the death occurred at a gestational age (GA) associated with a low risk of infant mortality . A recent study, supported by the James Lind Alliance, reported the top research priorities in relation to stillbirth. This study elicited 1275 responses from 574 participants (equally divided between professionals and non-professionals) and identified several priorities (out of 300 indicative unanswered questions) directly related to screening (e.g. Priority #5: Does ultrasound assessment of foetal growth in the third trimester reduce stillbirth?), and four others which were also relevant (e.g. Priority #6: Would increasing the frequency of umbilical artery Doppler scanning during pregnancy reduce stillbirth?) . The top 11 recommendations are listed in Table 1 . The aim of the current review is to consider current practice in relation to screening for stillbirth and how improved methods of screening may be developed and evaluated.



Table 1

Top 11 research priorities from a stillbirth priority setting partnership.




























Research questions
How can the structure and function of the placenta be assessed during pregnancy to detect potential problems and reduce the risk of stillbirth?
Does ultrasound assessment of foetal growth in the third trimester reduce stillbirth?
Do modifiable ‘lifestyle’ factors (e.g., diet, vitamin deficiency, sleep position, sleep apnea, lifting and bending) cause or contribute to stillbirth risk?
Which investigations identify a foetus at risk of stillbirth after a mother believes she has experienced reduced foetal movements?
Can the wider use of existing tests and monitoring procedures, especially in later pregnancy, and the development and implementation of novel tests (biomarkers) in the mother or in early pregnancy, help prevent stillbirth?
What causes stillbirth in normally grown babies?
What is the most appropriate bereavement and postnatal care for both parents following a stillbirth?
Which antenatal care interventions are associated with a reduction in the number of stillbirths?
Would more accessible evidence-based information on signs and symptoms of stillbirth risk, designed to empower women to raise concerns with healthcare professionals, reduce the incidence of stillbirth?
How can staff support women and their partners in subsequent pregnancies, using a holistic approach to reduce anxiety, stress and any associated increased visits to healthcare settings?
Why is the incidence of stillbirth in the UK higher than in other similar high-income countries, and what lessons can we learn from this?

Text quoted verbatim from Heazell et al, 2015 (reference 3).


Epidemiology of stillbirth


Stillbirth is defined as delivery of a baby in the perinatal period, which fails to show any signs of life. The definition of the start of the perinatal period varies between countries. In the USA, it is 20 weeks of gestational age (wkGA) and in the UK, it is 24 wkGA . The rate of stillbirth in high-income countries varies from 1.3 per 1000 to 8.8 per 1000 with an average of 3.5 per 1000 . The clear majority of stillbirths in high-income countries is the result of intra-uterine foetal death before the onset of labour (antepartum stillbirth) . Deaths occurring during labour (intrapartum stillbirths) account for 5–10% of all stillbirths in high-income countries, but account for a much larger proportion of losses in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) . A range of maternal characteristics has been associated with the risk of stillbirth. One of the most systematic and methodologically sound analyses of such risk factors was performed by the NICHD’s Stillbirth Collaborative Research Network . Their analysis of risk factors identifiable at the start of pregnancy is tabulated ( Table 2 ).



Table 2

Maternal risk factors for stillbirth.
























































Characteristic Adjusted Odds ratio 95% confidence interval
Non-Hispanic black race/ethnicity 2.12 1.41–3.20
Previous stillbirth 5.91 3.18–11.00
Nulliparity + previous losses at <20 weeks 3.13 2.06–4.75
Nulliparity, no previous losses 1.98 1.51–2.60
Diabetes mellitus 2.50 1.39–4.48
Maternal age ≥40 years 2.41 1.24–4.70
Maternal AB blood type 1.96 1.16–3.30
History of drug addiction 2.08 1.12–3.88
Smoking 1.55 1.02–2.35
Obesity/overweight 1.72 1.22–2.43
Not living with a partner 1.62 1.15–2.27
Multiple pregnancy 4.59 2.63–8.00

Data from reference 5 (see publication for details of multivariate analysis and referent categories). Stillbirth defined on the basis of ≥20 weeks of gestational age threshold.


Causes and classification of stillbirth


Aside from the sub-division of stillbirths into intrapartum and antepartum, losses can also be classified according to the presumed cause. However, this process is complicated by the fact that relatively few losses have a completely understood cause of death. The remainder have varying degrees of uncertainty in the mechanism(s) leading to death. This is illustrated in Figure 1 in relation to ascribing cause of death in the presence of a range of maternal medical conditions.




Figure 1


Representation of the continuum of uncertainty in ascribing cause for stillbirth, using the example of losses associated with maternal medical conditions. ALT denotes alanine transaminase; GA denotes gestational age. Reproduced with permission from a report of an NICHD workshop (Reddy et al., Obstet Gynecol 2009;114:901–914).


A diverse – if not bewildering – array of classification systems have been developed . One of the main characteristics which determines variation between the systems is the extent to which they will attribute a given associated condition or finding as being the cause of death. For example, an unexpected and unexplained stillbirth of an infant at 39 weeks where the baby’s birth weight was on the second percentile for sex and GA might be defined as unexplained in one classification system and as being due to foetal growth restriction (FGR) in another. In a sense, both classifications are correct. The actual cause of death is unknown; hence, the loss is strictly unexplained. However, it is known that birth weight <3rd percentile is associated with a 10-fold risk of stillbirth at term . Hence, it is very likely that the baby’s death was related to its size. The subject of classification of stillbirth is reviewed in detail elsewhere .


In the context of screening, one of the key associations for stillbirth is poor foetal growth. It is estimated that ∼30–50% of stillbirths are associated with low birth-weight percentile, and this is assumed to reflect FGR, which in turn presumed to be related, in a large proportion of cases, to placental dysfunction . This association is important in the context of screening, as a number of tools exist to quantify both foetal growth and placental function.




Screening for stillbirth


The first element of screening is to differentiate a population into those at high risk of the condition and those at low risk. The analysis and interpretation of screening statistics can be complicated. Particular problems in the context of stillbirth are as follows.



  • (i)

    Stillbirth is the end result of diverse pathological processes. Hence, any single test is not likely to be highly sensitive for the condition overall.


  • (ii)

    Stillbirth can occur across the whole range of GA. As the primary means to prevent stillbirth is to deliver the baby, the consequences of inappropriate intervention differ profoundly: at 24 weeks, outcomes are generally extremely poor, whereas at 40 weeks, outcomes are generally extremely good.


  • (iii)

    Stillbirth is relatively uncommon; hence, any sub-type of stillbirth is still less common. For example, if 40% of stillbirths are due to FGR and the risk of stillbirth in a country is four per 1000, the absolute risk of stillbirth associated with FGR is 1.6 per 1000. Normally, a test with a positive likelihood ratio of 20 would be regarded as an excellent screening test. However, the positive predictive value of this test in such a population would be ∼3%. Consequently, 97% of screen-positive women would not experience the event of interest. It follows, therefore, that if an intervention based on such a test caused any harm to false positives, a programme of screening and intervention would be likely to cause harm despite a strong screening test and an effective intervention.





Screening for stillbirth


The first element of screening is to differentiate a population into those at high risk of the condition and those at low risk. The analysis and interpretation of screening statistics can be complicated. Particular problems in the context of stillbirth are as follows.



  • (i)

    Stillbirth is the end result of diverse pathological processes. Hence, any single test is not likely to be highly sensitive for the condition overall.


  • (ii)

    Stillbirth can occur across the whole range of GA. As the primary means to prevent stillbirth is to deliver the baby, the consequences of inappropriate intervention differ profoundly: at 24 weeks, outcomes are generally extremely poor, whereas at 40 weeks, outcomes are generally extremely good.


  • (iii)

    Stillbirth is relatively uncommon; hence, any sub-type of stillbirth is still less common. For example, if 40% of stillbirths are due to FGR and the risk of stillbirth in a country is four per 1000, the absolute risk of stillbirth associated with FGR is 1.6 per 1000. Normally, a test with a positive likelihood ratio of 20 would be regarded as an excellent screening test. However, the positive predictive value of this test in such a population would be ∼3%. Consequently, 97% of screen-positive women would not experience the event of interest. It follows, therefore, that if an intervention based on such a test caused any harm to false positives, a programme of screening and intervention would be likely to cause harm despite a strong screening test and an effective intervention.





Maternal risk factors


The maternal characteristics, which are associated with the risk of stillbirth, have been tabulated ( Table 2 ). However, collectively, these associations explained just 19% of the variability in the risk of stillbirth. Hence, programmes of screening and intervention, which focus on maternal risk factors, will have a relatively limited capacity to reduce the numbers of stillbirth. Another key element of maternal risk is the association with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). There are a series of maternal characteristics, which place a woman at increased risk of GDM ( Table 3 ). A recent detailed review of a representative sample of unexpected stillbirths of normally formed infants at term in the UK, conducted by the national perinatal mortality surveillance system, MBRRACE-UK, found that failure to screen for GDM was one of the three most common potentially preventable characteristics observed, which might have resulted in the loss being avoided .



Table 3

Maternal risk factors for gestational diabetes mellitus.
















Maternal risk factors for gestational diabetes mellitus
Body mass index >30 kg/m 2
Previous macrosomic infant (>4.5 kg)
Previous gestational diabetes
First degree relative with diabetes
Ethnic origin associated with high incidence of diabetes


Clinical factors associated with stillbirth risk


Reduced foetal movements (RFMs) are one of the key symptoms associated with the risk of stillbirth. This subject has been reviewed in detail elsewhere . Failure of medical and midwifery staff to respond appropriately to RFMs was one of the other major potentially preventable causes of stillbirth in the MBRRACE-UK review described above . The RCOG (Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists) in the UK has issued a guideline for the management of women who present with reduced movements . Another major symptom associated with stillbirth risk is antepartum haemorrhage. In the absence of placenta praevia or cervical pathology, this is likely to represent bleeding from the placenta and may be a harbinger of later abruption. Finally, acquired disorders of pregnancy (such as GDM or pre-eclampsia) could be associated with maternal symptoms. Management is based on specific testing for the condition in question.


Response to women with symptoms associated with stillbirth risk


At preterm GAs, foetal monitoring is indicated. Generally, the first line of assessment is cardiotocography (CTG, also called a non-stress test in the USA). Interestingly, the RCOG guideline on RFMs does not recommend computerised CTG , which uses objective analysis of the trace, including computerised assessment of beat-to-beat variability. However, the Cochrane reviews do not indicate any benefits of using non-computerised CTG (and a trend towards harm) compared with using nothing, and a reduced risk of perinatal death using computerised CTG analysis compared with non-computerised CTG (for review, see Smith 2015) . Hence, computerised CTG is a reasonable first step. The next level of assessment is an ultrasound scan. The ultrasound scan is performed if other risk factors are present, and can also be performed in low-risk women who are presenting with their second (or greater) episode of RFMs. The key evidence-based measurement in high-risk pregnancies is Doppler flow velocimetry of the umbilical artery. However, generally, foetal biometry and amniotic fluid measurement would also be performed, sometimes with additional Doppler measurements (middle cerebral artery). The evidence base supporting these supplementary measurements is poor: this is a key area for further research and multiple recommendations of the prioritisation exercise for stillbirth research touched on this area.


At term, induction of labour should be considered for women presenting with RFMs. At 37–38 weeks, induction is still associated with increased risks of perinatal morbidity and should only be offered if foetal assessment is non-reassuring, there are other risk factors or if there have been multiple episodes of RFMs. However, perinatal outcome is optimal at 39–41 weeks and induction should be considered for any women presenting with RFMs at ≥39 weeks. Epidemiological evidence showed that universal induction at 39 weeks would reduce overall rates of stillbirth . However, for women with a single episode of RFMs, who have no other risk factors, and who want to avoid intervention, it is reasonable not to induce labour, as the absolute risk of stillbirth is likely to be <1%. The basis for this statement is that the background risk of stillbirth at term is one to two per 1000, and it is unlikely that a single episode of RFMs in an otherwise low-risk woman is associated with a >5-fold risk of stillbirth.

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Nov 6, 2017 | Posted by in OBSTETRICS | Comments Off on Screening and prevention of stillbirth

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