Predicting obstetric anal sphincter injuries in a modern obstetric population




Background


Perineal lacerations are common at the time of vaginal delivery and may predispose patients to long-term pelvic floor disorders, such as urinary incontinence and pelvic organ prolapse. Obstetric anal sphincter injuries, which are the most severe form of perineal lacerations, result in disruption of the anal sphincter and, in some cases, the rectal mucosa during vaginal delivery. Long-term morbidity, including pain, pelvic floor disorders, fecal incontinence, and predisposition to recurrent injury at subsequent delivery may result. Despite several studies that have reported risk factors for obstetric anal sphincter injuries, no accurate risk prediction models have been developed.


Objective


The purpose of this study was to identify risk factors and develop prediction models for perineal lacerations and obstetric anal sphincter injuries.


Study Design


This was a nested case control study within a retrospective cohort of consecutive term vaginal deliveries at 1 tertiary care facility from 2004-2008. Cases were patients with any perineal laceration that had been sustained during vaginal delivery; control subjects had no lacerations of any severity. Secondary analyses investigated obstetric anal sphincter injury (3rd- to 4 th -degree laceration) vs no obstetric anal sphincter injury (0 to 2 nd -degree laceration). Baseline characteristics were compared between groups with the use of the chi-square and Student t test. Adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated with the use of multivariable logistic regression. Prediction models were created and model performance was estimated with receiver-operator characteristic curve analysis. Receiver-operator characteristic curves were validated internally with the use of the bootstrap method to correct for bias within the model.


Results


Of the 5569 term vaginal deliveries that were recorded during the study period, complete laceration data were available in 5524 deliveries. There were 3382 perineal lacerations and 249 (4.5%) obstetric anal sphincter injuries. After adjusted analysis, significant predictors for laceration included nulliparity, non-black race, longer second stage, nonsmoking status, higher infant birthweight, and operative delivery. Private health insurance, labor induction, pushing duration, and regional anesthesia were not statistically significant in adjusted analyses. Significant risk factors for obstetric anal sphincter injury were similar to predictors for any laceration; nulliparity and operative vaginal delivery had the highest predictive value. Area under the curve for the predictive ability of the models was 0.70 for overall perineal laceration, and 0.83 for obstetric anal sphincter injury. When limited to primiparous patients, 1996 term vaginal deliveries were recorded. One hundred ninety-two women sustained an obstetric anal sphincter injury; 1796 women did not. After adjusted analysis, significant predictors for laceration included non-black race, age, obesity, and nonsmoking status. In secondary analyses, significant predictors for obstetric anal sphincter injury included non-black race, nonsmoking status, longer duration of pushing, operative vaginal delivery, and infant birthweight. Area under the curve for the predictive ability of the models was 0.60 for any laceration and 0.77 for obstetric anal sphincter injury.


Conclusions


Significant risk factors for sustaining any laceration and obstetric anal sphincter injury during vaginal deliveries were identified. These results will help identify clinically at-risk patients and assist providers in counseling patients about modifications to decrease these risks.


Obstetric anal sphincter injury (OASI) involves injury to the anal sphincter and rectal mucosa sustained at time of vaginal delivery and can result in significant long-term morbidity. Historically, these injuries have been defined as 3rd- and 4th-degree lacerations, those that involve disruption of the anal sphincter and rectal mucosa respectively and are referred to as anal sphincter lacerations and severe perineal lacerations. Current estimates suggest that 3-5% of women who undergo a vaginal delivery experience an OASI. Although numerous risk factors have been identified, accurate methods to predict which patients will experience any laceration or OASI have yet to be developed.


The long-term morbidity that is associated with lacerations is significant and includes pelvic and perineal pain, dyspareunia, pelvic floor disorders (including stress urinary incontinence, overactive bladder, prolapse symptoms, and objective pelvic organ prolapse), fecal urgency and incontinence, rectovaginal fistulas, and risk of recurrent injury to the anal sphincter in subsequent deliveries. Although these complications may result from any degree of perineal trauma, the greatest morbidity primarily results from disruption of the anal sphincter. In fact, women who sustain a recognized 3rd- or 4th-degree laceration with their first vaginal delivery are at 3-4 times greater risk of experiencing a recurrent laceration in a subsequent pregnancy, and many ultimately will experience some degree of anorectal dysfunction that includes fecal urgency, inability to control flatus, or overt fecal incontinence.


The primary objective of this study was to investigate a modern obstetric cohort in an effort to develop models to predict perineal laceration and OASI at time of vaginal delivery. Our secondary objectives were to reevaluate the known risk factors, potentially to identify new risk factors for any perineal laceration and OASI, and to address the role of parity in the risk of sustaining any perineal laceration and OASI.


Materials and Methods


This is a nested case control study within a retrospective cohort of consecutive term vaginal deliveries at a tertiary care institution from 2004-2008. Women included in the cohort had term (≥37 weeks gestation), cephalic, nonanomalous singleton gestations and reached the second stage of labor. Deliveries were excluded from analysis if laceration data were unavailable or incomplete or if the patient had a cesarean delivery. The Washington University Human Research Protection Board approved the parent study (IRB# 081285, 12/18/08).


Trained research personnel collected detailed data from the medical record that included maternal sociodemographic data, medical and obstetric history, intrapartum course, complications, and neonatal characteristics. Sociodemographic and historical data, which included smoking status and maternal weight and body mass index (BMI), were recorded at the time of presentation to labor and delivery. Those patients who reported using tobacco at any point during their pregnancy were considered “tobacco users.”


Two groups were created: patients who sustained a laceration during delivery and those who did not. Further analysis was performed that compared patients with an OASI with those without. Laceration was defined as any injury to the perineum including 1st-degree through 4th-degree lacerations. OASI was defined as a 3rd- or 4th-degree laceration.


Baseline characteristics were compared between the 2 groups with the use of chi-square and Student t test to determine risk factors for any laceration. Variables that included the duration of the second stage of labor (minutes), duration of pushing (minutes), estimated fetal weight (EFW; grams), and infant birthweight (grams) were examined both as continuous and categoric variables. Normal distribution was tested by examination of the histogram as well as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test; most variables approximated normal distribution. Multivariable logistic regression was then used to adjust for baseline differences between cases and control subjects. The analysis was adjusted for operative vaginal delivery (no/yes), nulliparity (no/yes), tobacco use (no/yes), EFW ≥3500 g (no/yes), and African American ethnic category (no/yes). Adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for each risk factor. From these adjusted odds ratios, prediction models were created; model performance was estimated with the use of receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves.


We then performed a secondary analysis that was based on laceration severity. Those patients who sustained 3rd- or 4th-degree lacerations were categorized as OASI; all others were considered “no OASI.” The analysis was adjusted for African American ethnic category (no/yes), operative vaginal delivery (no/yes), nulliparity (no/yes), tobacco use (no/yes), and EFW ≥3500 g (no/yes).


Finally, a subgroup analysis was performed that restricted the patient population to only primiparous patients. Statistical analysis was performed as mentioned earlier with the use of chi-square and Student t test to compare baseline characteristics and multivariable logistic regression to obtain adjusted odds ratios and 95% CIs. These comparisons were performed for patients with an OASI vs those with no OASI. The analysis was adjusted for African American ethnic category (no/yes), tobacco use (no/yes), duration of pushing >60 min (no/yes), operative vaginal delivery (no/yes), maternal age (years), and EFW ≥3500 g (no/yes). Prediction models for OASI that were unique to primiparous patients were created. ROC curve analysis was then used to estimate the risk prediction model performance for all models.


The models that were obtained through logistic regression were validated internally through bootstrap analysis to obtain a more stable and robust model. Each model was assessed in 1000 bootstrap samples with replacement. Internal validation was assessed by calculation of the area under the curve (AUC) for the samples, which yielded an overall AUC for the bootstrapped model.




Results


During the designated study period, there were 5569 term vaginal deliveries recorded at our institution. Laceration data were missing or incomplete in 45 patients (0.8%), which were excluded, for a total of 5524 patients included in the present study. Of those, 3382 patients (61.2%) sustained some degree of perineal laceration, with 249 patients (4.5%) experiencing an OASI. Baseline characteristics were compared between cases and control subjects ( Table 1 ). Those patients who sustained any perineal laceration were more likely to be younger, primiparous, and nonsmokers and to have private health insurance. They were also more likely to undergo induction of labor, deliver at a greater gestational age, and have regional anesthesia. The groups did not differ in EFW. Infant birthweight was significantly different between tobacco users and nonusers (3137 ± 533 g vs 3261 ± 527 g; P < .01). There was a weak, linear relationship between EFW and infant birthweight ( r = 0.34; P < .0001).



Table 1

Baseline characteristics
















































































































































Variable No perineal laceration (n = 2161) Perineal laceration (n = 3382) P value
Maternal age, y a 25.2 ± 5.6 24.0 ± 6.1 < .01
Gestational age, wk a 38.9 ± 1.2 39.0 ± 1.2 < .01
Nulliparous (n = 1996), n (%) 345 (16) 1651 (49) < .01
Previous vaginal delivery (n = 3336), n (%) 1763 (82) 1574 (47) < .01
Maternal body mass index, kg/m 2 a 32.1 ± 7.3 31.3 ± 6.6 < .01
Ethnic category: African American (n = 4000), n (%) 1758 (81) 2242 (66) < .01
Public or no insurance (n = 4745), n (%) 1943 (90) 2816 (83) < .01
Tobacco use (n = 1017), n (%) 479 (22) 538 (16) < .01
Induction (n = 1669), n (%) 569 (26) 1100 (33) < .01
Regional anesthesia (n = 4552), n (%) 1720 (80) 2832 (84) < .01
Duration of 2nd stage of labor, min a 31 ± 44 49 ± 63 < .01
<30 Min (n = 3206), n (%) 1517 (71) 1689 (51) < .01
30-60 Min (n = 1042), n (%) 316 (15) 726 (22) < .01
>60 Min (n = 1193), n (%) 293 (14) 900 (27) < .01
Duration of pushing, min a 16 ± 35 29 ± 54 < .01
<30 Min (n = 4178), n (%) 1836 (85) 2342 (70) < .01
30-60 Min (n = 641), n (%) 157 (7) 484 (15) < .01
>60 Min (n = 662), n (%) 156 (7) 506 (15) < .01
Operative vaginal delivery (n = 706), n (%) 154 (7) 552 (16) < .01
Vacuum (n = 567), n (%) 131 (6) 436 (13) < .01
Forceps (n = 139), n (%) 23 (1) 116 (3) < .01
Estimated fetal weight, g a 3349 ± 348 3341 ± 331 .51
<3500 (n = 2652), n (%) 1023 (61) 1629 (61) .85
≥3500 (n = 1708), n (%) 654 (39) 1054 (39) .85
Episiotomy (n = 26), n (%) 11 (0.5) 15 (0.4) .73
Infant birthweight ≥3500 g (n = 1589), n (%) 547 (25) 1042 (31) < .01
Male sex (n = 2806), n (%) 1080 (50) 1726 (51) .44

Meister et al. Predicting obstetric anal sphincter injury. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2016 .

a Data are presented as mean ± standard deviation.



After adjusted analysis, significant predictors for any perineal laceration included nulliparity, operative vaginal delivery, and infant birthweight ≥3500 g. Because EFW is information that clinicians will have before delivery, models were run with EFW instead of infant birthweight, although the 95% CI for EFW crosses 1 in the multivariable analysis ( Table 2 ). African American ethnicity and tobacco use were protective. Private health insurance, induction of labor, duration of pushing, and use of regional anesthesia did not remain significant in the adjusted analyses. When comparing OASI vs no OASI, significant risk factors for OASI were the same as the predictors for laceration in general; again the model was also run with EFW substituted for infant birthweight ( Table 3 ). Nulliparity and operative vaginal delivery had the highest predictive value, with adjusted odds ratios of 5.33 and 4.37, respectively. African American ethnicity and tobacco use remained protective. Duration of pushing (minutes), maternal BMI (kilograms/square meter), and induction of labor (no/yes) were significant on univariate analysis but did not remain significant in the final model.



Table 2

Risk factors for any perineal laceration














































Variable No perineal laceration (n = 2161), n (%) Perineal laceration (n = 3382), n (%) P value Crude odds ratio (95% confidence interval) Adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval)
African American 1758 (81) 2242 (66) < .01 0.45 (0.40–0.51) 0.46 (0.40–0.52) a
Nulliparous 345 (16) 1651 (49) < .01 5.02 (4.39–5.74) 4.69 (4.09–5.38) b
Tobacco use 479 (22) 538 (16) < .01 0.66 (0.58–0.76) 0.83 (0.72–0.97) c
Operative vaginal delivery 154 (7) 552 (16) < .01 2.54 (2.11–3.07) 1.75 (1.42–2.13) d
Estimated fetal weight ≥3500 g 654 (30) 1054 (31) .48 0.96 (0.86–1.08) 1.06 (0.94–1.19) e

MODEL EQUATION: Logit(p) = 0.50 – 0.78(African American) + 1.54(nulliparous) – 0.18(tobacco use) + 0.56(operative vaginal delivery) + 0.61(fetal weight ≥3500 g).

Meister et al. Predicting obstetric anal sphincter injury. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2016 .

a Adjusted for operative vaginal delivery, nulliparity, tobacco use, and estimated fetal weight ≥3500 g


b Adjusted for African American race, operative vaginal delivery, tobacco use, and estimated fetal weight ≥3500 g


c Adjusted for African American race, operative vaginal delivery, nulliparity, and estimated fetal weight ≥3500 g


d Adjusted for African American race, nulliparity, tobacco use, and estimated fetal weight ≥3500 g


e Adjusted for African American race, operative vaginal delivery, nulliparity, and tobacco use.



Table 3

Risk factors for obstetric anal sphincter injury














































Variable Nonsevere laceration (0-2nd degree; n = 5275), n (%) Obstetric anal sphincter injury (3rd/4th degree; n = 249), n (%) P value Crude odds ratio (95% confidence interval) Adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval)
African American 3876 (73) 120 (48) < .01 0.34 (0.26–0.44) 0.37 (0.28–0.49) a
Nulliparous 1796 (34) 192 (77) < .01 6.52 (4.82–8.82) 4.77 (3.49–6.51) b
Tobacco use 999 (19) 15 (6) < .01 0.27 (0.16–0.46) 0.34 (0.20–0.59) c
Operative vaginal delivery 591 (11) 111 (45) < .01 6.37 (4.90–8.30) 4.32 (3.28–5.71) d
Estimated fetal weight ≥3500 g 1616 (31) 88 (35) .11 1.11 (0.86–1.43) 1.22 (0.93–1.60) e

MODEL EQUATION: Logit(p) = –3.68 – 0.99(African American) + 1.56(nulliparous) – 1.06(tobacco use) + 1.46(operative vaginal delivery) + 0.20(fetal weight ≥3500 g).

Meister et al. Predicting obstetric anal sphincter injury. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2016 .

a Adjusted for operative vaginal delivery, nulliparity, tobacco use and estimated fetal weight ≥3500 g


b Adjusted for African American race, operative vaginal delivery, tobacco use and estimated fetal weight ≥3500 g


c Adjusted for African American race, operative vaginal delivery, nulliparity, and estimated fetal weight ≥3500 g


d Adjusted for African American race, nulliparity, tobacco use and estimated fetal weight ≥3500 g


e Adjusted for African American race, operative vaginal delivery, nulliparity, and tobacco use.



The prediction model for the risk of sustaining a perineal laceration includes ethnic category, operative delivery, nulliparity, and EFW as predictors ( Table 4 ). The AUC for this model is 0.72. The model that predicts OASI also included ethnic category, operative delivery, nulliparity, and EFW as predictors. The AUC for this model is 0.83.



Table 4

Adjusted sensitivity and specificity for perineal laceration and obstetric anal sphincter injury




















































Variable Sensitivity, % Specificity, % Positive predictive value, % Negative predictive value, % Area under the curve Internal validation
area under the curve
All patients
Perineal laceration 70.0 65.5 76.0 58.2 0.72 0.70
Obstetric anal sphincter injury 0 100.0 95.5 0.83 0.83
Nulliparous patients
Obstetric anal sphincter injury 0 99.8 90.3 0.74 0.77

Meister et al. Predicting obstetric anal sphincter injury. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2016 .


Next, we performed the analysis in only primiparous women. During the same study period, there were 1996 term vaginal deliveries recorded among primiparous patients. Perineal lacerations of any severity were recorded in 1651 patients (82.7%), and OASI were found in 192 patients (9.6%). Baseline characteristics were again compared between cases and control subjects, and fewer variables differed between the groups ( Table 5 ). Women who sustained perineal lacerations were more likely to be older, have higher BMI, and be nonsmokers. African American women were again less likely to sustain lacerations. There was a trend toward higher infant birthweight in women who sustained perineal lacerations, although this was not statistically significant. There was no difference in EFW between the groups.


May 2, 2017 | Posted by in GYNECOLOGY | Comments Off on Predicting obstetric anal sphincter injuries in a modern obstetric population

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