Diagnostic Process
Frank A. Oski*
Jane A. Oski
*Deceased
This chapter on the diagnostic process was written for the first edition of this textbook in 1989. While the content of the essay is essentially timeless, a new edition of a textbook necessitates a re-examination of even the most classical elements. When the first edition appeared, the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) was an evolving laboratory technique, genetic testing was in its infancy, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was just beginning to demonstrate its power to noninvasively study the human body. None of these current realities would have significantly altered Frank Oski’s central thesis regarding the physician’s role in the diagnostic process. What follows is an attempt to leave the message unchanged while appropriately updating statistical data and diagnostic trends in pediatric medicine.
Diagnosis is one of the most important tasks of the clinician. Problem solving in medicine has been described, somewhat cynically, as “the process of making adequate decisions with inadequate information.” If the diagnosis is correct and treatment is available, proper care usually follows. If no specific treatment is available, correct diagnosis is still important, because it provides a basis for prognosis and advice to patients or parents.
The need for a logical approach to medical diagnosis is vitally important to the economy of the United States, where health costs account for more than 10% of the gross national
product. Former U.S. Secretary of Health, Education, and Welfare Joseph A. Califano once observed that “the physician is the central decision maker for more than 70% of health care services.” Despite extensive changes in the management of health care resources over the past two decades, the physician remains the principal decision maker. These decisions include that for hospitalization, duration of hospitalization, medications administered, and diagnostic tests used.
product. Former U.S. Secretary of Health, Education, and Welfare Joseph A. Califano once observed that “the physician is the central decision maker for more than 70% of health care services.” Despite extensive changes in the management of health care resources over the past two decades, the physician remains the principal decision maker. These decisions include that for hospitalization, duration of hospitalization, medications administered, and diagnostic tests used.
BASIC APPROACHES TO DIAGNOSIS
The cognitive processes used in making a diagnosis are not fully understood. Perhaps nowhere else in medicine do the art and science of medicine blend as imperceptibly as they do in the process of making a diagnosis. Physicians use four basic approaches to reach a diagnosis: pattern recognition, sampling the universe, clinical algorithms, and hypothesis generation.
Pattern Recognition
Pattern recognition is the process by which a diagnosis is made based on physical clues or linkage identification. For example, a diagnosis of Down syndrome can be made by recognizing the physical findings that make up this genetic abnormality. Similarly, the diagnosis of Henoch-Schönlein purpura is immediately apparent if the rash has a characteristic pattern and distribution. Diagnosis by pattern identification requires familiarity with diseases through experience or study. The expression “the more you see, the more you know, and the more you know, the more you see” describes how pattern recognition develops.
Linkage identification is a form of pattern recognition. A diagnosis is based on history and physical or laboratory findings. For example, the finding of a micropenis and hypoglycemia in a neonate would result in a prompt diagnosis of congenital hypopituitarism. A history of bloody diarrhea in association with a white blood cell count demonstrating more band forms than mature polymorphonuclear leukocytes would result in an immediate diagnosis of Shigella gastroenteritis. Skill in linkage identification, like pattern recognition, is gained by observation and study. The seemingly intuitive diagnosis, often the hallmark of the older physician, is usually a result of linkage identification.
Sampling the Universe
Sampling the universe refers to the inappropriate ordering of laboratory studies in hopes that an abnormality will appear that can result in a diagnosis. This is a diagnostic process to be decried. In the United States, approximately $30 billion per year are spent on laboratory tests representing approximately 3.5% of total health care spending, and another $2.8 billion per year are spent on chest roentgenography alone. Computed axial tomography (CAT) scans, MRI, and diagnostic ultrasounds are rapidly eclipsing the costs of laboratory studies and, according to many critics of the trend, are replacing the physical exam. An estimated 20% to 60% of these tests are unnecessary. If the estimates are accurate, a minimum of $6 to $18 billion per year are spent on procedures that do not aid in the diagnosis or treatment of illness. As the number of new tests available constantly increases, so will the amount spent on those that are inappropriately ordered. Laboratory tests should be obtained only to support a hypothesis. If the history and physical diagnosis do not suggest an underlying organic disorder, no rationale exists for ordering a battery of laboratory tests in an attempt to uncover an occult disease. As any practitioner who has been guilty of overdoing test ordering can vouch, one runs the risk of obtaining a questionable result on any number of laboratory evaluations that can then generate an additional mindless search for an answer to a diagnostically insignificant question. The evaluation of infants and children with failure to thrive is an example of this form of behavior. In a classic 1978 review of 2,607 laboratory studies performed on 185 patients with failure to thrive, Sills found that only 1.4% of the tests were of any positive diagnostic assistance, and all of them were specifically indicated by the history or physical examination. More recent studies on failure to thrive both confirm and uphold the observation that most patients with failure to thrive require very little laboratory evaluation.